Patient characteristics
Table 1 summarizes baseline characteristics before and after PSM and values are reported as mean ± SD or median [IQR] as appropriate. We prespecified |SMD| < 0.10 as the balance target and did not perform hypothesis testing for baseline differences. Before matching SAR n=260 vs. JAKi n=212 showed marked imbalance in treatment line distribution with 1st vs. 2nd vs. ≥3rd line 47.7% vs. 26.5% vs. 25.8% in SAR vs. 24.5% vs. 32.1% vs. 43.4% in JAKi and higher inflammatory burden with SAR with CRP 1.8 [0.5–4.9] vs. 0.6 [0.1–2.1] mg/dL and ESR 56.4 ± 34.5 vs. 39.5 ± 31.4 mm/h. Hematologic indices were also higher with SAR with platelets 29.1 ± 11.4 vs. 25.8 ± 8.7 ×104/μL, neutrophils 5652.5 ± 2680.4 vs. 4891.4 ± 2298.8/μL, and WBC 7995 ± 2826 vs. 7246 ± 2689/μL, while age and sex were comparable and disease activity was modestly higher with SAR with CDAI 22.0 ± 12.0 vs. 19.1 ± 10.4. After one to one matching the treatment line distribution in SAR vs. JAKi was 25.4% vs. 26.2% for first-line, 35.7% vs. 34.1% for second-line, and 38.9% vs. 39.7% for ≥third-line, and baseline characteristics were comparable with age 68.6 ± 13.3 vs. 69.4 ± 12.1 years, female proportion 77.0% vs. 77.8%, and CDAI 20.7 ± 11.6 vs. 19.6 ± 9.0. Residual differences persisted mainly in inflammatory and patient reported measures with higher CRP and ESR and differences in patient VAS, swollen joint count, and HAQ-DI, while most other covariates were similar. Tables 2 and 3 show the same pattern within strata of prior bDMARD exposure with PSM equalizing demographics and most clinical measures across first line, second line, and ≥third line groups, while modest residual imbalances in inflammatory markers and selected patient reported outcomes remained without compromising overall comparability of the matched cohorts. The composition of JAKi by agent is summarized in Table 1 for tofacitinib, baricitinib, peficitinib, upadacitinib, and filgotinib with percentages before and after matching. All five agents used during the study period were represented, and given small numbers in some post-match strata, drug level findings are presented descriptively without hypothesis testing.
Overall Clinical Outcomes
Following PSM, clinical outcomes were compared between the SAR and JAKi groups over a 12-month period. Figure 1A provides the groups' overall retention rates, including all reasons for treatment discontinuation. At 6 months, the retention rates were 82.5% for the JAKi group and 78.3% for the SAR group. At 12 months, the rates declined to 56.3% and 60.3% for the JAKi and SAR groups, respectively. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis revealed no significant difference in treatment continuation between the groups (log-rank test, p=0.60). Cox proportional hazards modeling demonstrated a statistically no significant difference favoring SAR, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.1 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.75–1.66, p=0.6). In Figure 1B, time to discontinuation for ineffectiveness did not differ between SAR and JAKi (log-rank p=0.67), with survival curves closely overlapping throughout follow-up, and the retention rate for AEs likewise showed no statistically significant difference (log-rank p=0.29), although the JAKi curve trended toward slightly lower retention, suggesting a modestly higher rate of AE-related discontinuation that did not reach significance. As illustrated in Figure 1D, both groups demonstrated comparable CDAI change from baseline through 3, 6, and 12 months. No statistically significant differences in CDAI were observed between groups at any point, indicating similar levels of disease control. Rates of CDAI-low disease activity (LDA) (CDAI-LDA ≤10.0) and remission (CDAI ≤2.8) were also comparable between groups at 3, 6, and 12 months (Figure 1E). At 12 months, the proportion of patients achieving LDA (72.3% vs. 65.9%) and remission (38.3% vs. 33.0%) was not significantly different between SAR and JAKi groups.
Phase-based clinical outcomes in MTX-free RA with sarilumab versus JAK inhibitors by prior b/tsDMARD use
We evaluated 6- and 12-month drug retention and corresponding changes in CDAI by prior treatment line as displayed in Figure 2 and no between-group differences reached statistical significance with log-rank p=0.30 in each stratum. In Phase 2 corresponding to first-line therapy panels A and D the 6-month retention was SAR 88.8% vs. JAKi 85.8% and the 12-month retention was SAR 72.0% vs. JAKi 60.0% and the CDAI changes were SAR −14.3 ± 11.7 vs. JAKi −13.9 ± 8.5 at 6 months and SAR −16.5 ± 14.2 vs. JAKi −14.5 ± 8.6 at 12 months. In Phase 3 corresponding to second-line therapy panels B and E the 6-month retention was SAR 75.4% vs. JAKi 82.0% and the 12-month retention was SAR 50.9% vs. JAKi 58.5% and the CDAI changes were SAR −10.1 ± 8.7 vs. JAKi −15.6 ± 12.2 at 6 months and SAR −9.6 ± 10.3 vs. JAKi −13.4 ± 12.1 at 12 months. In Phase 3 corresponding to third-line or later panels C and F the 6-month retention was SAR 80.0% vs. JAKi 80.5% and the 12-month retention was SAR 65.6% vs. JAKi 52.1% and the CDAI changes were SAR −7.9 ± 9.6 vs. JAKi −14.1 ± 15.6 at 6 months and SAR −8.1 ± 8.1 vs. JAKi −12.4 ± 17.6 at 12 months. Collectively these phase-based analyses indicate broadly comparable retention and disease control between SAR and JAKi across prior-line strata within MTX-free regimens.
Glucocorticoid outcomes over 12 months in sarilumab and JAK inhibitors by phase and treatment-line
Figure 3 summarizes oral GC outcomes from baseline to 12 months where panels A through D display the change in daily GC dose at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months and panels E through H display cumulative GC discontinuation at baseline, 3, 6, and 12 months. In the overall cohort panels A and E, the median change in daily GC dose was SAR 0.0 [0.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [0.0–0.0] mg per day at 3 months and SAR 0.0 [0.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [−1.0–0.0] at 12 months and the proportion discontinuing GC increased from 3.3% to 6.7% with SAR and from 1.6% to 4.0% with JAKi. In Phase 2 first-line panels B and F, median dose changes were SAR 0.0 [0.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [0.0–0.0] at 3 months and SAR 0.0 [−2.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [0.0–0.0]at 12 months and GC discontinuation rose from 2.2% to 11.3% with SAR and from 2.3% to 4.6% with JAKi. In Phase 3 second line panels C and G, the median change was SAR 0.0 [0.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [0.0–0.0] at 3 months and SAR 0.0 [0.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [−1.0–0.0] at 12 months and the discontinuation proportion increased from 1.9% to 7.5% with SAR and from 3.9% to 5.8% with JAKi. In Phase 3 third-line or later panels D and H, median dose changes were SAR 0.0 [0.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [0.0–0.0] at 3 months and SAR 0.0 [0.0–0.0] vs. JAKi 0.0 [−1.0–0.0] at 12 months and GC discontinuation increased from 0.0% to 0.0% with SAR and from 0.0% to 2.1% with JAKi. Overall these data show stable to modestly decreasing daily doses over time together with gradual increases in GC discontinuation and no material divergence between SAR and JAKi within each prior line stratum.
CDAI Improvement Stratified by Baseline Prognostic Factors
ΔCDAI at 12 months was evaluated after stratifying baseline CDAI, CRP, RF, ACPA, WBC, Hb, and Plt into quartiles (Suppl. Table 1 and Figure 4). For baseline CDAI, both treatment groups showed the largest improvement in Q4. In the SAR, ΔCDAI increased stepwise from Q1 to Q4 (−2.7, −7.2, −12.8, −28.0), with Q2–Q4 each greater than Q1 (all p < 0.001). A similar pattern was observed with JAKi (p < 0.001). For CRP, improvement rose across quartiles in both groups. In SAR, changes were −5.2, −11.2, −11.6, and −20.3 from Q1 to Q4; in JAKi, −7.2, −9.8, −11.4, and −16.5, with Q4 greater than Q1 (p < 0.05) in JAKi. For WBC, only JAKi showed a quartile effect (Q4 −17.5 vs. Q1 −5.4; p < 0.05). For Hb, SAR showed greater improvement in Q1 (7.3–<10.5 g/dL) than in Q3 and Q4 (−20.9 vs. −4.3 and −7.0; p < 0.001); no Hb-related differences were seen with JAKi. For Plt, both groups improved more in Q4 than Q1 (SAR −24.0 vs. −6.7; JAKi −18.4 vs. −8.2; both p < 0.05). By serological status (Figure 5), RF-negative patients on SAR improved more than RF-positive patients (−18.5 vs. −11.5; p < 0.001). ACPA status did not affect ΔCDAI in either group. Quartile analyses of RF and ACPA titers showed no significant differences, although numerically larger improvements were seen in the lowest quartiles.
Factors Associated with Achieving Low Disease Activity at 12 Months
We identified baseline predictors of achieving CDAI-LDA (CDAI ≤10) at 12 months using logistic regression conducted separately for SAR and JAKi (Table 4). In the SAR cohort, multivariable analysis showed that younger age (adjusted OR 0.98; 95% CI: 0.96–0.99; p = 0.01), b/tsDMARD-naïve status (adjusted OR 2.59; 95% CI: 2.21–3.70; p = 0.01), lower Hb (adjusted OR 0.54; 95% CI: 0.31–0.95; p = 0.05), higher Plt (adjusted OR 1.24; 95% CI: 1.12–1.37; p = 0.001), and higher CRP (adjusted OR 1.83; 95% CI: 1.32–2.45; p = 0.001) independently predicted LDA. In the JAKi cohort, higher Plt (adjusted OR 1.16; 95% CI: 1.07–1.28; p = 0.001) and higher CRP (adjusted OR 1.23; 95% CI: 1.16–1.78; p = 0.03) remained independent predictors. In univariate analyses, additional factors were associated with LDA but did not persist after adjustment: for SAR, RF positivity, lower Hb, higher Plt, and higher CRP (along with age and b/tsDMARD-naïve status) were significant; for JAKi, b/tsDMARD-naïve status, ACPA positivity, lower WBC, lower Hb, higher Plt, and higher CRP were significant.
Safety outcomes and adverse events leading to treatment discontinuation.
Table 5 presented safety outcomes in the matched cohorts (n=126 per group). Any AEs occurred in 22 of 126 patients (17.5%) with SAR and in 42 of 126 (33.3%) with JAKi, an absolute difference of 15.8 percentage points corresponding to approximately 1.9 fold higher risk with JAKi. By category, infection occurred in 3.2% versus 10.3%, herpes zoster in 0.0% versus 2.4%, cancer in 0.8% versus 1.6%, rash in 2.4% versus 0.8%, exacerbation of RA associated ILD in 0.8% versus 1.6%, renal injury in 0.0% versus 1.6%, bone marrow suppression in 3.2% versus 2.4%, and others in 4.8% versus 0.0% for SAR and JAKi respectively.