The aim of this study was to provide a comprehensive assessment of the influence of cage fish farming on water quality and zooplankton communities in Tende Bay, Lake Victoria. Statistically significant differences were observed in pH (p = 0.018), transparency (p < 0.001), and ammonia (p < 0.001) across the four sampling sites, while temperature, dissolved oxygen, and electrical conductivity showed no significant variation (p > 0.05), indicating that cage farming primarily affects specific water quality parameters rather than causing broad degradation. The highest ammonia concentrations were recorded at Site 1 (0.60 ± 0.26 mg/L), adjacent to the fish cages, substantially exceeding the safe threshold of 0.02 mg/L for aquatic life (WHO, 2017). This nutrient enrichment is consistent with findings from other African lakes, where (Mbabazi, 2022) documented similar ammonia increases near cage operations in Murchison Bay, Lake Victoria, and (Njiru, 2018) linked elevated nutrient levels to eutrophication risks in the lake. The high N/P ratios (20.73–68.45) observed in our study, exceeding the Redfield ratio of 16, suggest potential phosphorus limitation in Tende Bay, a pattern also reported by (Sitoki, 2020) in Lake Victoria's nutrient dynamics.
Zooplankton diversity demonstrated significant spatial variation (Shannon's index, p = 0.03), with rotifers showing higher abundance near cage sites compared to Cladocera. This shift in zooplankton community structure reflects early biological responses to nutrient enrichment, aligning with findings by (Mwangi, 2022) in Lake Tanganyika, where zooplankton composition changes served as sensitive indicators of aquaculture impacts. The dominance of rotifers (18.94 ind./L overall) near cage sites suggests these opportunistic species benefit from the increased nutrient availability, while Cladocera maintained more uniform distribution across sites, indicating their broader ecological tolerance.
Despite significant nutrient enrichment near cages, chlorophyll levels showed no significant variation across sites (p = 0.863), ranging from 5.71 to 13.05 mg/m³ and remaining within mesotrophic conditions according to the trophic classification by (Nyamweya, 2023). This absence of algal response to nutrient enrichment is consistent with studies by (Challouf, 2017) in Monastir Bay, Tunisia, and Garcia et al. (2022) in Chilean reservoirs, who similarly found that elevated nutrients did not immediately translate to increased chlorophyll production. This disconnect may be attributed to several factors, including light limitation, grazing pressure from zooplankton, or the short duration of our study period, which may not capture delayed biological responses (Talis, 2021).
The spatial gradient in water quality parameters, with clear differences between cage-adjacent sites and the offshore control, demonstrates the localized nature of cage farming impacts. This finding supports the use of spatially explicit monitoring and management strategies for aquaculture in Lake Victoria, as recommended by (Kaggwa, 2022) for sustainable cage farming in African Great Lakes. The stability of temperature, pH, and dissolved oxygen across all sites indicates ecosystem resilience to moderate levels of nutrient enrichment, suggesting that the lake's natural processes are currently buffering against more severe environmental degradation (Anyah, 2021). However, the elevated ammonia levels near cages, approaching toxic thresholds, highlight the need for continued monitoring and improved management practices to prevent long-term ecological damage (Burkholder, 2024).
The absence of significant chlorophyll response, despite nutrient enrichment, suggests that Tende Bay's ecosystem is currently in an early warning stage where nutrient inputs have not yet triggered algal blooms. This provides a critical window of opportunity for implementing preventive management strategies, including improved feed efficiency, reduced stocking densities, and enhanced monitoring protocols, to ensure the sustainable development of cage aquaculture in Lake Victoria (Nguyen, 2023). These findings contribute to the growing body of evidence that while cage aquaculture can cause localized environmental impacts, these effects can be managed through science-based approaches that balance economic development with ecosystem protection in tropical lake systems (Jose, 2023).