Patient Characteristics
Fifty patients with histologically confirmed squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the cervix met the inclusion criteria and were included in the final analysis. The mean age was 46.4 years (SD, 14.1; range, 23–79 years). Median clinical follow-up was 46.5 months.
Treatment Outcomes and Survival
At the last follow-up, 10 patients (20%) had died, and 16 (35%) had experienced recurrence or death (Table 1). Median overall survival (OS) was 13.5 years (95% CI: 9.4). Estimated OS rates were 91.4% at 2 years, 82.7% at 5 years, 77.5% at 8 years, and 64.6% at 10 years. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were 72.6% at 2 years and 57.7% at 5 years (Table 2).
Table 1
Overall Survival (OS) – Kaplan-Meier analysis.
|
Statistic
|
Value
|
|
N
|
50
|
|
Events (Deaths)
|
10 (20%)
|
|
Median Survival
|
13.49 years (95% CI: 9.38 – NA)
|
|
2-year Survival
|
91.4% (95% CI: 83.7–99.8%)
|
|
5-year Survival
|
82.7% (95% CI: 71.5–95.5%)
|
|
8-year Survival
|
77.5% (95% CI: 64–93.9%)
|
|
10-year Survival
|
64.6% (95% CI: 43–96.9%)
|
This table presents overall survival data for 50 patients who were followed from the time of diagnosis. Median survival was 13.49 years with 10 events (20%). Survival probabilities at 2, 5, 8, and 10 years are reported with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
Table 2
Recurrence-Free Survival (RFS) – Kaplan-Meier analysis.
|
Statistic
|
Value
|
|
N
|
46
|
|
Events (Recurrence or Death)
|
16 (35%)
|
|
Median Survival
|
Not reached (95% CI: 3.66 – NA)
|
|
2-year RFS
|
72.6% (95% CI: 60.4–87.1%)
|
|
5-year RFS
|
57.7% (95% CI: 42.9–77.5%)
|
This table presents recurrence-free survival data for 46 patients after treatment, with 16 recurrence or death events (35%). Median RFS was not reached. Two- and five-year RFS probabilities with 95% CI are reported.
Imaging Biomarkers: Pre- vs. Post-Treatment
All imaging biomarkers showed significant post-treatment changes (Table 3). Tumor size: Median axial diameter decreased from 4.7 cm to 1.2 cm (p < 0.001); sagittal diameter decreased from 3.6 cm to 1.1 cm (p < 0.001). ADC values: Median ADC increased from 0.82 ×10–3 mm2/s to 1.35 ×10–3 mm2/s (p < 0.001). SUVmax: Median SUVmax decreased from 17.8 to 4.8 (p < 0.001). Arterial enhancement: Present in 98% of tumors pre-treatment and persisted in 35% post-treatment. Pelvic lymph nodes: Involvement decreased from 72% on MRI and 52% on PET at baseline to 20% and 8% after treatment.
Table 3
Tumor Size, ADC, and SUV Changes (Wilcoxon test).
|
Measure
|
Pre-treatment (Mean ± SD)
|
Post-treatment (Mean ± SD)
|
Difference (Mean ± SD)
|
Median (Range) Change
|
p-value
|
|
Tumor Size Axial (cm)
|
4.5 ± 1.7
|
1.6 ± 1.7
|
-2.9 ± 1.9
|
-2.8 (-7.8, 1.6)
|
< 0.001
|
|
Tumor Size Sagittal (cm)
|
3.8 ± 1.6
|
1.4 ± 1.6
|
-2.4 ± 2.1
|
-2.3 (-6.3, 2.0)
|
< 0.001
|
|
ADC (×10⁻³ mm²/s)
|
847.6 ± 151.1
|
1367.6 ± 374.3
|
+ 512.4 ± 409.4
|
510 (-316, 1736)
|
< 0.001
|
|
SUV Max
|
19.4 ± 9.0
|
7.1 ± 6.5
|
-12.3 ± 9.6
|
-10.9 (-40.9, 10.4)
|
< 0.001
|
This table summarizes pre- and post-treatment measurements for tumor size (axial and sagittal), apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), and maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax). Mean, standard deviation, and median with range are reported. Differences were assessed using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, with statistically significant improvements observed in all parameters (p < 0.001).
Prognostic Associations
On univariate Cox regression, higher post-treatment SUVmax was associated with worse OS (HR = 1.078, 95% CI: 1.02–1.14, p = 0.008) (Table 4) and RFS (HR = 1.049, 95% CI: 1.00–1.10, p = 0.046) (Table 5). Larger post-treatment sagittal tumor size showed borderline associations with inferior OS (HR = 1.38, p = 0.089) and RFS (HR = 1.31, p = 0.057) (Fig. 2).
Table 4
Cox Regression – Predictors of Overall Survival (OS).
|
Variable
|
HR (95% CI)
|
p-value
|
Conclusion
|
|
Age
|
1.02 (0.98–1.06)
|
0.422
|
Not significant
|
|
Size Sagittal
|
1.38 (0.95–1.99)
|
0.089
|
Marginal – worse OS
|
|
Size Axial
|
1.22 (0.81–1.82)
|
0.340
|
Not significant
|
|
ADC
|
0.63 (0.08–5.17)
|
0.669
|
Not significant
|
|
SUV
|
1.04 (0.95–1.13)
|
0.432
|
Not significant
|
This table summarizes the univariate Cox regression analyses correlating age, changes in tumor size (axial and sagittal), changes in ADC, and changes in SUV with overall survival. Increase in sagittal tumor size was marginally associated with worse OS (HR = 1.38, p = 0.089).
Table 5
Cox Regression – Predictors of Recurrence-Free Survival (RFS).
|
Variable
|
HR (95% CI)
|
p-value
|
Conclusion
|
|
Age
|
1.02 (0.99–1.05)
|
0.266
|
Not significant
|
|
Size Sagittal
|
1.30 (0.99–1.71)
|
0.057
|
Marginal – worse RFS
|
|
Size Axial
|
1.21 (0.92–1.59)
|
0.173
|
Not significant
|
|
ADC
|
0.76 (0.17–3.43)
|
0.719
|
Not significant
|
|
SUV
|
1.01 (0.95–1.08)
|
0.699
|
Not significant
|
This table presents univariate Cox regression analyses correlating clinical and imaging variables with RFS. Increased sagittal tumor size was marginally associated with worse RFS (HR = 1.30, p = 0.057).
Logistic regression analysis revealed that a post-treatment increase in axial and sagittal tumor size was correlated with the persistence of arterial enhancement (axial OR = 1.58, p = 0.025; sagittal OR = 1.93, p = 0.002). Persistent arterial enhancement trended toward worse RFS (HR ≈ 2.24, p = 0.107) (Tables 6 and 7). In multivariable analysis, only post-treatment pelvic lymph node positivity on MRI remained independently associated with inferior RFS (p < 0.05).
Table 6
Logistic Regression – Predictors of Post-treatment Arterial Enhancement.
|
Variable
|
OR (95% CI)
|
p-value
|
Conclusion
|
|
Age
|
1.00 (0.96–1.04)
|
0.940
|
Not significant
|
|
Size Axial
|
1.58 (1.10–2.47)
|
0.025
|
Significant
|
|
Size Sagittal
|
1.93 (1.33–3.13)
|
0.002
|
Significant
|
|
ADC
|
0.21 (0.03–1.10)
|
0.085
|
Trend, not significant
|
|
SUV
|
1.04 (0.97–1.11)
|
0.300
|
Not significant
|
This table shows univariate logistic regression analyses of age, changes in tumor size, ADC, and SUV in predicting post-treatment arterial enhancement on imaging. Increases in axial and sagittal tumor size were significantly associated with arterial enhancement (p = 0.025 and p = 0.002, respectively).
Table 7
Post-treatment Predictors of OS and RFS.
|
Predictor
|
HR (95% CI)
|
p-value
|
Outcome
|
|
SUV.Max.post
|
1.08 (1.02–1.14)
|
0.008
|
Worse OS
|
|
SUV.Max.post
|
1.05 (1.00–1.10)
|
0.046
|
Worse RFS
|
|
ADC Pre/Post
|
NS
|
–
|
Not predictive
|
|
Arterial Enhancement Post
|
HR = 2.24 (0.84–5.97)
|
0.107
|
Not significant
|
This table provides univariate Cox regression results for post-treatment SUV, ADC, and arterial enhancement in relation to OS and RFS. Higher post-treatment SUV was significantly associated with worse OS (p = 0.008) and RFS (p = 0.046).
Predictors of Treatment Response
Baseline ADC values were predictive of metabolic response. Higher pre-treatment ADC was correlated with a failure to achieve a partial metabolic response per PERCIST (OR = 1.007, 95% CI: 1.002–1.014, p = 0.015) (Table 8) (Fig. 3). Baseline tumor size showed a nonsignificant trend toward predicting RECIST response.
Table 8
Predictive of Treatment Response (RECIST and PERCIST).
|
Predictor
|
OR (95% CI)
|
p-value
|
Conclusion
|
|
ADC.pre (PERCIST)
|
1.007 (1.002–1.014)
|
0.015
|
Higher baseline ADC → worse response
|
|
SUV.Max.pre
|
NS
|
0.347
|
Not predictive
|
|
Tumor Size Sagittal.pre
|
OR = 0.60 (0.31–1.03)
|
0.091
|
Trend
|
|
Tumor Size Axial.pre
|
OR = 0.59 (0.32–0.99)
|
0.059
|
Borderline
|
This table summarizes the results of logistic regression analyses examining the predictive value of pretreatment tumor size, ADC, and SUV for treatment response, using both RECIST and PERCIST criteria. A higher pretreatment ADC was significantly correlated with a poor metabolic response by PERCIST (OR = 1.007, p = 0.015).